• CmdrShepard42@lemm.ee
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          8 hours ago

          For a long time, phone polls were conducted using landline numbers only (rather than calling anyone with a cell phone) but I don’t think that’s been true for quite a while now.

    • tal
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      6 hours ago

      https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-return-power-fueled-by-hispanic-working-class-voter-support-2024-11-06/

      Hispanic Americans skew more working-class than the country’s white majority, with larger shares of Hispanics lacking college degrees, according to U.S. Census Bureau estimates.

      Hispanics also tend to be younger than average in America, which means many have had less time to build wealth and have also been more exposed to the economic troubles of recent years, including high inflation and soaring interest rates for mortgages. Trump won 43% of voters age 18 to 29 - 7 points more than in 2020.

      About two-thirds of voters considered the U.S. economy in poor shape, compared with about half of 2020 voters. Some 46% said their family’s financial situation was worse than four years ago, compared with 20% who said the same in 2020.

      “Republicans have consistently beat Democrats on connecting with voters on the economy,” said Clarissa Martinez De Castro, vice president of the nonpartisan UnidosUS Latino Vote Initiative. “This was a referendum on the economy, and that has consistently been the number one, two and three issues for Hispanic voters.”

      The top concern for Trump voters in 2024 was the economy. The top issue within that was prices. Inflation is extraordinarily unpopular with voters. A very substantial amount of inflation occurred while Biden was President, and in general, voters attribute economic performance to whoever is running the country at the time.

      In the battleground state of Arizona, a state Biden won in 2020, Mexican-born Arturo Laguna became an American citizen earlier this year and cast his first U.S. presidential ballot for Trump, citing the Republican’s conservatism and his embrace of restrictions on abortion access.

      “The three biggest things of importance are family values, being pro-life and religion,” said Laguna, a 28-year-old corporate manager. “I don’t feel like Kamala represents those values.”

      Specifically for Hispanics, as a bloc, social conservativism is also a thing.