My vibes based thoughts on Quantum bubble: itās been tried before and never stuck. Itās too science-y for the common folk to buy-in. AI sold fear, crypto sold āownershipā and ābanking freedomā and of course āFOMO to invest early like imagine buying Apple when it was a $1!ā, and dotcom sold anything computer.
But now everyone has computer, crypto questions never answered so it remains in a small capacity still on the āya but what ifā, and AI isnāt able to actually replace anyone after trillions of dollars poured in so itās going the way of crypto (will still be around but not in our faces at every turn).
Quantum just never had and never will have those pulls. Like I remember the attempt to sell fear a decade or more ago when everyone was like āpasswords and encryption become meaningless!ā But it was still all hypothetical. Being hardware is a huge part of the fizzle. Software you can make pretty interface and spin up a PoC that doesnāt do anything but you can have someone use the prototype to get the āomggghg itās realā feeling. Without hardware being accessible it just looks like nerds in lab coats and no one cares.
I bump into a lot of peers/colleagues who are always āya but what is intelligenceā or simply cannot say no to AI. For a while Iāve tried to use the example that if these āAI codingā things are tools, why would I use a tool thatās never perfect? For example I wouldnāt reach for a 10mm wrench that wasnāt 10mm and always rounds off my bolt heads. Of course they have āit could still be usefulā responses.
Iām now realizing most programmers havenāt done a manual labor task thatās important. Or lab science outside of maybe high school biology. And the complete lack of ability to put oneself in the shoes of another makes my rebuttals fall flat. To them everything is a nail and anything could be a hammer if it gets them paid to say so. Moving fast and breaking things works everywhere always.
For something not just venting I tasked a coworker with some runtime memory relocation and Gemini had this to say about ASLR:
Age, Sex, Location Randomization