• ExLisper@linux.community
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    11 months ago

    I think so far this is what people wanted: end the status quo and apply shock therapy.

    His supporters hope that in the long run the economy will become independent and the country would come out of the never ending crisis. My guess is that everything will simply end up owned by private interests and while (best case scenario) the economy will do better, people will suffer even more.

    • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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      11 months ago

      The Argentinian economy will not do better, only the wealth of the neocolonial compradors will, and the wealth of their Global North capitalist masters.

    • sock@lemmy.world
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      11 months ago

      ugh welcome to earth where the only way to have a healthy “economy” is for people to suffer. but we cant seem to just live in peace and help eachother out without monetary benefits. so people are forced to suffer because of greedy bastards.

      LETS GO WE NAILED IT GUYS

    • naeap@sopuli.xyz
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      11 months ago

      Yeah, because Friedman’s free market shock doctrine shit just isn’t working.

      Free market regulating itself is the next bullshit argument

    • doctorcrimson
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      11 months ago

      There is no such thing as an independent economy without a population of hundreds of millions of highly educated individuals. Countries specialize so they can produce what they’re good at for cheaper than if one country made a little of everything.

      That said, Diapers and Gasoline are terrible examples to use. The companies behind those can charge as high as they want and are notorious for doing so.

        • doctorcrimson
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          11 months ago

          Milei wants to adopt USD as the national currency, so you’re definitely 100% wrong with that statement.

          Historically, most conservative parties of Argentina were installed by the USA. Notably, the 1976 Coup had them meeting directly with Henry Kissinger, and there are lots of conversations about former POTUS Trump potentially meddling in the election that installed Milei.

          • ExLisper@linux.community
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            11 months ago

            You missed the part where I said it’s what his supporters hope for. I’m not saying he will actually do it or even try to do it. People there think the country is controlled by the USA and want this to change. They also see adopting USD as a quick way to lower inflation. Yes, it’s not realistic but people don’t know that so they still voted for him.

    • stolid_agnostic@lemmy.ml
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      11 months ago

      They privatized many of the highways and you have to pass through toll booths every so often as ownership changes. These people provide no service, there are just taking the money. Same with much of the transit—many buses and trains are privately (mafia) owned.

      • ExLisper@linux.community
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        11 months ago

        Well, I guess we’ll see. Currently I don’t really see how privatizing everything and opening real estate market to foreign investors helps poor children but maybe it will. My guess is that when the private corporations take over everything they will squeeze even more money out of the poor but maybe the wealth will somehow trickle down. It’s definitely an interesting experiment. My other guess is that if this fails all the libertarians will say that it’s because he implemented all the policies they like so much wrong. If he succeeds I’m definitely voting for the right wing nutjobs in the next elections.

        • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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          11 months ago

          The historical record shows that there are no maybes about this. It’s obviously not an “interesting experiment.” There’s no sense in giving these rhetorical inches while they’re taking miles.

          • ExLisper@linux.community
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            11 months ago

            What historical record? Can you point to another country taking such a extreme turn to the right while being in similar situation? And not being met with sanctions like in Afghanistan for example. I’m genuinely curious.

            • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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              11 months ago

              Can you point to another country taking such a extreme turn to the right while being in similar situation?

              While that isn’t what I was talking about, Weimer Germany is the canonical example of a similar situation, but there are many examples.

              What I was talking about is the historical record of neoliberal shock therapies, which Naomi Klein documented well.

            • rottingleaf@lemmy.zip
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              11 months ago

              Shock therapy in Russia after USSR breaking up, maybe?

              That was more extreme, since it was not a transition from left-wing liberal democracy to right-wing liberal democracy, but from bureaucratic planned economy to a pretense at liberal democracy.

              Still some examples may apply.

              Say, if things state-owned or state-managed in Argentina now get privatized, one can look at the specific mechanism and whether it’ll be similar to what happened in Russia.

        • merc@sh.itjust.works
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          11 months ago

          I guess the right wing theory is that the president makes Argentina a great place to do business, business people rush in, and wealth trickles down.

          But, that “trickle down” idea doesn’t ever seem to have actually worked anywhere. Maybe the best Argentina can hope for is that at one point when the economy is booming, the working people suddenly form or join unions and the companies decide it’s too risky / expensive to leave, so they negotiate with those unions.

          OTOH, these days it’s so easy to move corporations around to wherever the laws are the most corporation-friendly. So, even if somehow the new president does make corporations want to do more business in Argentina, it’s hard to see how the people of Argentina will really benefit.

          • ExLisper@linux.community
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            11 months ago

            I would agree if Argentina wasn’t so fucked right now. The goal is not to make Argentina great but to get out of crisis. I think what can happen is that all this drastic cuts and price hikes will lower inflation and stabilize the economy. With inflation under control and normal interest rates people will be able to start saving money again, take out mortgages and import goods. This could improve their situation if public services survive but my guess is they will end up fully owned by foreign capital at the end.

            • merc@sh.itjust.works
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              11 months ago

              I think what can happen is that all this drastic cuts and price hikes will lower inflation and stabilize the economy

              It might, or it might not. The thing with inflation is that it’s based on people’s expectations as much as anything else. People have to believe that inflation will go away before it goes away.

              The new president has one thing going for him, which is that he’s not a continuation of the previous administration. That means there’s a chance that people will believe that he’s actually making serious reforms. If they’d stuck with a prime minister who was the finance minister when the inflation was going nuts, I don’t think anybody would have believed that things were going to improve, which meant they wouldn’t improve.

          • rottingleaf@lemmy.zip
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            11 months ago

            But, that “trickle down” idea doesn’t ever seem to have actually worked anywhere.

            If you look at Switzerland, it does, just takes long.

        • rottingleaf@lemmy.zip
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          11 months ago

          If he succeeds I’m definitely voting for the right wing nutjobs in the next elections.

          Uh, I saved this comment of yours for that one sentence.

          My views are rather libertarian, but I wouldn’t trust most of the real life libertarians (too trusting into thousands of shitcoins or excited with reading sci-fi and busy writing and discussing articles about mechanisms of anarchy in the ancap meaning of the word).

          However, if it comes to you voting for the “right wing nutjobs”, please remember that GOP in USA is not libertarian in any way, no more than Ukraine’s ruling party which uses the word sometimes.

          • ExLisper@linux.community
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            11 months ago

            I don’t live in USA. I would be voting for Konfederacja in Poland which has similar, libertarian ideas as Milei. They are always dismissed as idiots (and I tend to agree) but if Milei fixes Argentina I’m ready to eat crow and give them a chance.

            • rottingleaf@lemmy.zip
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              11 months ago

              Well, for the next 10-20 years I doubt I’ll have the option of participating in a real vote, not without a revolution. So wishing you well and wishing Argentinians well, what is described should work in theory, but it’s just too sharp a turn.

            • PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmy.ml
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              11 months ago

              I would be voting for Konfederacja in Poland which has similar, libertarian ideas as Milei.

              They are in a solid chummy political party with neonazis and monarchists for years. This alone should tell you what kind of libertarians they really are.

        • PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmy.ml
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          11 months ago

          how privatizing everything and opening real estate market to foreign investors helps poor children

          the wealth will somehow trickle down

          Spoiler alert: it never did.