Stefan Rahmstorf and I are submitting a revised version of our paper, Global Warming has Accelerated Significantly, in which we estimate and then remove the effect on global temperature of volcanic…

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/31033182

On the Berkeley data, the PLF10 model estimates the final value at 1.41 ± 0.10 °C and final warming rate at 0.38 ± 0.14 °C/decade (2σ confidence intervals).

If the globe continues to warm at that rate, then we’ll cross the 1.5 °C limit of the Paris Climate Accord before the year 2030.