Stefan Rahmstorf and I are submitting a revised version of our paper, Global Warming has Accelerated Significantly, in which we estimate and then remove the effect on global temperature of volcanic…

On the Berkeley data, the PLF10 model estimates the final value at 1.41 ± 0.10 °C and final warming rate at 0.38 ± 0.14 °C/decade (2σ confidence intervals).

If the globe continues to warm at that rate, then we’ll cross the 1.5 °C limit of the Paris Climate Accord before the year 2030.

  • kingofras@lemmy.worldEnglish
    3·
    2 天前

    Nobody in the collapse community is talking about 1.5 anymore. I’m hearing 2° is the new “can we stay under thát” level.

    I hate that the 0.5°C seems so insignificant to the uneducated masses, it’s is a very big difference in terms of consequences.

    • solo@piefed.socialEnglish
      1·
      2 天前

      I am not really sure I understand what you mean. Of course 0.5°C is very important, but to my understanding, the Paris Agreement is really not going as planned.

      As the official deadline passes for countries to submit their revised Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement, only 13 of the 195 parties have done so. Alarmingly, this group includes just five developed countries, which are required to lead the way on climate action.

      Under the Paris Agreement, every country must update its national climate action plan every five years. These NDC plans outline how nations intend to reduce emissions and adapt to climate impacts to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. This year’s submissions should extend their new NDCs to 2030 and outline new objectives for the period up to 2035, setting the tone for a decisive decade of climate action.

      [source]

      Edit: Since the above article dates a few months back I searched for something more updated and found the perfect link: NDC Tracker