But, according to this graph, homicide was still 15% higher in 2024 compared to 2015.
Note the axis intercept - “0%” corresponds to the 2015 homicide rate. If 2026 were to drop to 0% on this graph, that would not mean 2026 matched 2025 - it would mean 2026 matched 2015.
It should be fairly obvious that this graph indicates this. If homicide climbed 10%-50% every year, compound interest would put the homicide rate at well over triple the rate it was in 2015.
No. You are not reading the graph correctly, please confirm your statistics before trying to correct others.
https://www.fbi.gov/news/press-releases/fbi-releases-2023-crime-in-the-nation-statistics
Homicide has fallen year over year from 2021.
But, according to this graph, homicide was still 15% higher in 2024 compared to 2015.
Note the axis intercept - “0%” corresponds to the 2015 homicide rate. If 2026 were to drop to 0% on this graph, that would not mean 2026 matched 2025 - it would mean 2026 matched 2015.
It should be fairly obvious that this graph indicates this. If homicide climbed 10%-50% every year, compound interest would put the homicide rate at well over triple the rate it was in 2015.