It will be a lot of fun once the GenAI hype collapses. The bad part is always the workers paying the price for the bad decisions of the capitalists.
It’s not going anywhere. This thing is for real. Even if the algos are dog shit now they are getting so much better so quickly.
It’s not so much that they replace workers it’s more like a mech suit for knowledge workers. Right now I think it’s mostly being felt in software engineering. Obviously artists already got wrecked. You should see the video of the radiologist right now on Reddit, the algo does the job he trained 20 years for. And he’s saying you don’t need radiologists anymore. Like that’s probably not true, but maybe now you only need one senior radiologist to review the edge cases and the rest can be done by a tech.
Anyone that touches a computer now for work is pretty much fucked. Maybe not yet but in a decade for sure. It’s not so much the people already in seats, they will likely be fine. It’s the people coming up when all the entry level seats are gone.
Being an entry level software engineer right now is hell.
People at my department joked around saying ChatGPT was like having your own personal intern, you can ask them to do dumb shit and you just come around and take the bits that the LLM got right.
That was a year ago, and LLMs have advanced a lot since then.
Even if LLMs can’t replace an entry level programmer upper management sure believe they do.
I don’t think progammers will be fully replaced but we are entering into an era of entry level programmer jobs imploding for years to come.
You can’t have senior engineers if you don’t ever hire juniors.
I don’t even think AI proponent CEOs are missing this part of the equation, they just don’t care about what happens in the next 2 - 4 years , capitalism gonna capitalist 🤷♂️I believe AI can’t replace jobs in Software, however it can indeed hurt the software and IT workers in the short and long run. The expectation or the belief that AI will replace workers is enough to do this, even if the outcome is not true. The performance of workers will always be benchmarked against AI tools and that will make negotiation of salary and higher positions harder.
The same can be said about digital artists, even though I think it’s more complicated, since the assessment of quality of art is subjective and many shareholders only see digital art as a cost. For example why hire an artist to design a logo when instead you have a person with a prompt?
AI impact is only being felt in software engineering by developers who have to rewrite slop others created with AI.