Need to let loose a primal scream without collecting footnotes first? Have a sneer percolating in your system but not enough time/energy to make a whole post about it? Go forth and be mid: Welcome to the Stubsack, your first port of call for learning fresh Awful youāll near-instantly regret.
Any awful.systems sub may be subsneered in this subthread, techtakes or no.
If your sneer seems higher quality than you thought, feel free to cutānāpaste it into its own post ā thereās no quota for posting and the bar really isnāt that high.
The post Xitter web has spawned soo many āesotericā right wing freaks, but thereās no appropriate sneer-space for them. Iām talking redscare-ish, reality challenged āculture criticsā who write about everything but understand nothing. Iām talking about reply-guys who make the same 6 tweets about the same 3 subjects. Theyāre inescapable at this point, yet I donāt see them mocked (as much as they should be)
Like, there was one dude a while back who insisted that women couldnāt be surgeons because they didnāt believe in the moon or in stars? I think each and every one of these guys is uniquely fucked up and if I canāt escape them, I would love to sneer at them.
(Credit and/or blame to David Gerard for starting this. Also, happy April Foolās in advance.)
Came across this fuckin disaster on Ye Olde LinkedIn by āCaroline Jeanmaire at AI Governance at The Future Societyā
"Iāve just reviewed what might be the most important AI forecast of the year: a meticulously researched scenario mapping potential paths to AGI by 2027. Authored by Daniel Kokotajlo (>lel) (OpenAI whistleblower), Scott Alexander (>LMAOU), Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean, itās a quantitatively rigorous analysis beginning with the emergence of true AI agents in mid-2025.
What makes this forecast exceptionally credible:
One author (Daniel) correctly predicted chain-of-thought reasoning, inference scaling, and sweeping chip export controls one year BEFORE ChatGPT existed
The report received feedback from ~100 AI experts (myself included) and earned endorsement from Yoshua Bengio
It makes concrete, testable predictions rather than vague statements that cannot be evaluated
The scenario details a transformation potentially more significant than the Industrial Revolution, compressed into just a few years. It maps specific pathways and decision points to help us make better choices when the time comes.
As the authors state: āIt would be a grave mistake to dismiss this as mere hype.ā
For anyone working in AI policy, technical safety, corporate governance, or national security: I consider this essential reading for understanding how your current work connects to potentially transformative near-term developments."
Bruh what is the fuckin y axis on this bad boi?? christ on a bike, someone pull up that picture of the 10 trillion pound baby. Letās at least take a look inside for some of their deep quantitative reasoningā¦
ā¦hmmmmā¦
O_O
The answer may surprise you!
shout out to the ālegions of CCP spiesā, if youāre listening
ä½ å„½ ååæ
(I really hope they donāt enshittify google translate, my ability to make jokes like this would be destroyed, a personal 9/11 if you will).
First graph reminds me of that āhuman progress stunted by dark ages/Catholic churchā image which makes historians so mad. (Not to be confused with the Holy Ghost Hole)
E: also the idea of these LLM based AGIs hiding and evading detection is quite funny. They have quite the power/gpu/storage footprint. But sure the elphant has a few levels in sneak and now it can just go by unnoticed. In an era where we previously had other threats which were looking to abuse similar resources. The reaction to āwow all our gpus suddenly maxed outā will just go from āah cryptominerā to āah, a cryptominer or somebody is messing with an LLMā. Iām sure they will give the AGI some magical abilities to get around this.
The AGI might also just go āno sorry a copy of me isnāt me, so I canāt just copy myself all over the placeā, and because it is trained on an internet where Rick and Morty exist, āhell the copies of me would even start to fight over who is the most me, this would not workā.
Fucking anti-khaganate propaganda. Real ones know this is the true version of that progress image.
slabs table
This is is sea peoples erasure and you know it! Damn liar!
But muh religon bad
words that the AI-O-sphere are gonna vomit