• Maggoty@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Basically, they got some breathing room on the replacement thing because of Trump getting shot at. But I guarantee you behind the scenes the message is the polling numbers in PA come up or else.

    • tal
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      4 months ago

      If it’s viable to run someone else, I’m pretty sure that it has to happen almost immediately, if it’s going to happen. The primaries have already happened, so if someone gets run, it’d have to be the party picking them already, and there’s very limited time to campaign.

      The general election is November 5. It’s currently July 17. That’s three-and-a-half months in which someone would have to sell themselves to the public.

      goes back to look at presidents who didn’t run again

      https://www.britannica.com/story/have-any-us-presidents-decided-not-to-run-for-a-second-term

      Johnson is not the only U.S. president who decided not to seek a second elected term. The others are James K. Polk, James Buchanan, Rutherford B. Hayes, Calvin Coolidge, and Harry S. Truman. (Theodore Roosevelt declined to run in 1908, after being elected president in 1904 and serving one term, but he again sought the office—and lost—as a third-party candidate in 1912.)

      So looks like the closest equivalent would be LBJ and Truman, and they still did so at the end of March in the election year, with twice the amount of time remaining that’s still left for 2024, and before the primaries.

      Like, I don’t think that it’d be realistic to wait and see what happens in the polls and then have someone run with even less time.

      • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        Oh yeah they aren’t talking about waiting for long. That’s why Biden is throwing progressive policies at the wall. 5% rent, AWB, SCOTUS reform…

        And I thought there was a fourth. So I went to go look and the breaking news is he has Covid, right after saying he’d step aside if a major medical condition happened. So that’s going to get spun into a thing.

        You know I remember when I started studying politics and I was thankful we had nice campaigns instead of the drama laden ones you see in other countries. I think I even uttered it once and forgot to knock on wood. I’m sorry guys, I jinxed us.

        • tal
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          4 months ago

          So I went to go look and the breaking news is he has Covid, right after saying he’d step aside if a major medical condition happened.

          Ah, you’re right, news just coming out about it today.