Quick summary: an analysis of the Iranian ballistic missiles used in the attack in April showed them to demonstrate dramatically worse performance than had been expected of them.
Quick summary: an analysis of the Iranian ballistic missiles used in the attack in April showed them to demonstrate dramatically worse performance than had been expected of them.
That may have broader implications than just for Israel. My understanding from past reading is that the Iranian ballistic missile stockpile was of concern to other countries too, like Turkey, and why Turkey was pushing hard for having anti-ballistic-missile capability.
But if Iran’s ballistic missiles can’t reliably impact much closer to their target than this, absent nuclear warheads, it may mean that Iran has much less military capability against other countries in the region than expected.
Not sure if inaccuracy makes them less dangerous if they have enough of them to throw. The supply is probably not unlimited but for example we now know that the current combined capability of Israel and whatever the US has in the region can’t stop all of 180 missiles. Assuming my thinking isn’t wrong, that means Iran could throw 500 and expect over 100 to land around their targets. If they really want to hit something, they just have to increase the number. Then of course they might have nothing left after a few salvos, but hit they will.
It would be bad for others who bought missiles from Iran, since they likely don’t have that large stockpiles to compensate. Plus they paid for better accuracy.
That makes their most recent attack on Israel even stupider. They might have meant it as a face-saving revenge-poke over Israel’s attacks on Hezbollah, but they should have known it would just serve as a convenient excuse for Netanyahu to escalate and broaden this war even further. If Israel does use this as an excuse to bomb their nuclear sites, the rest of the world will comfortably shrug their shoulders as it happens, because a nuclear-capable Iran is something no one else in the world wants to see.