Donald Trump has quietly wound down his presidential campaign in states he was targeting just six weeks ago amid polling evidence showing that Kamala Harris’s entry into the presidential race has put them out of reach and narrowed his path to the White House.
The Republican presidential nominee’s campaign has diverted resources away from Minnesota, Virginia and New Hampshire – states Trump was boasting he could win while Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate – to focus instead on a small number of battleground states.
Money is being poured into the three “blue wall” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which were all carried by Biden in 2020 and are seen as vital to the outcome of November’s election.
I mean, if you’re going to use that metric, you might as well go smaller, because a lot of people in those states have already made up their mind. It’s only voters who might be willing to choose or adjust their vote that are in play.
Only the states that are still undecided enough to tip, and within those, only the voters whose position is still undecided enough to potentially tip.
Yeah. Not unreasonable to say maybe 1% of registered voters are in play, so maybe 200,00 people or so.
Less than that in the 2000 election even if Gore wasn’t fucked over by SCOTUS.
Trump won Michigan by less then 10,000 votes in 2016. Tightest presidential outcome in the states history.
And that was after Hillary both ignored and insulted the rust belt.
Isn’t it as much about showing up to vote than about changing minds who to vote for?