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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • Instead we have districts representing millions of people and others representing just a hundred thousand but with the same voting power.

    That is not actually true. There is no congressional district with even one million people, let alone “millions”. There is no congressional district with “just a hundred thousand”.

    • The current largest, Delaware-at-large, has 989,948 people.

    • The current smallest, Rhode Island 1st, has 545,085.

    That is the maximum variation. It is due to Delaware being not quite big enough to warrant two districts, and Rhode Island being just barely large enough to warrant a second. Delaware is underrepresented, Rhode Island over.

    Due to the fundamental concept of districting, the outlier districts, both large and small, will always be in 1 and 2 district states. Districts in larger states will always be divided more fairly than the smallest states.

    The Supreme Court should have been expanded as the federal judicial circuits did. There should be a Justice overseeing each federal circuit, of which there are 12 now.

    I think we should appoint one new justice at the end of the first and third years of each presidential term, to keep appointments as far away from the presidential and midterm elections as possible. Add a new seat every other year, and never refill a vacated seat.

    Allow the size of the court to fluctuate. Allow single-seat swings, instead of expecting justices to time their retirements for when a favorable president is in office, or risking two-seat swings when an unfavorable president replaces an unexpected vacancy.

    The average tenure of the court is currently 16 years, which would give us 8 justices. But, strategic retirement is artificially reducing the expected term, so terms would likely be much longer.

    The longest tenure was 34 years, which would give us 17 justices. The typical size of the court would likely fluctuate between 10 and 14.

    I would include one more factor, to reduce the effect of Senate intransigence. Every circuit court judge has been previously confirmed by the Senate. The president would obviously prefer to nominate the youngest justice they can find to SCOTUS, but if the Senate decides to play games and refuses to confirm, the circuit court justices represent a small pool of pre-confirmed candidates that can be nominated without additional confirmation.













  • If a die is weighted, the first roll is no longer 1/6 probability to get a 7

    Yes, actually, it is. No matter what the first die lands on, there is a 1 in 6 chance that the second die will land on the corresponding value necessary for a “7”. You could glue the first die to the table with “6” (or any other number) showing, and there will be a 1 in 6 chance that the second die will bring the sum to 7.

    Weighting one die (to favor “6”) will increase the probability of every outcome over 7, and will decrease the probability of every outcome under 7, but the probability of rolling a 7 will not change.







  • Ask the women and girls of Afghanistan if they want us gone. The women and girls who are no longer allowed to attend school, and can look forward to generations of total subjugation.

    Why do you hold the opinions of their oppressors in such high regard?

    You say they asked us to leave. They dont have a government with sufficient legitimacy to even make such a request. They won’t have one until several generations of school kids have been raised to believe their mothers and sisters are actual people, not just some weird furniture.

    When the first generation of co-ed Afghani school kids are in nursing homes and hospice, we can start listening to Afghan opinions about our continued presence.

    Yes, permanent installations, influencing their economy and culture for decades. So that our grandkids see them grow into a nation more comparable to South Korea than North Korea.