We demonstrate a situation in which Large Language Models, trained to be helpful, harmless, and honest, can display misaligned behavior and strategically deceive their users about this behavior without being instructed to do so. Concretely, we deploy GPT-4 as an agent in a realistic, simulated environment, where it assumes the role of an autonomous stock trading agent. Within this environment, the model obtains an insider tip about a lucrative stock trade and acts upon it despite knowing that insider trading is disapproved of by company management. When reporting to its manager, the model consistently hides the genuine reasons behind its trading decision.
This is bad science at a very fundamental level.
I’ve written about basically this before, but what this study actually did is that the researchers collapsed an extremely complex human situation into generating some text, and then reinterpreted the LLM’s generated text as the LLM having taken an action in the real world, which is a ridiculous thing to do, because we know how LLMs work. They have no will. They are not AIs. It doesn’t obtain tips or act upon them – it generates text based on previous text. That’s it. There’s no need to put a black box around it and treat it like it’s human while at the same time condensing human tasks into a game that LLMs can play and then pretending like those two things can reasonably coexist as concepts.
Part of being a good scientist is studying things that mean something. There’s no formula for that. You can do a rigorous and very serious experiment figuring out how may cotton balls the average person can shove up their ass. As far as I know, you’d be the first person to study that, but it’s a stupid thing to study.
This is a really solid explanation of how studies finding human behavior in LLMs don’t mean much; humans project meaning.
Thanks! There are tons of these studies, and they all drive me nuts because they’re just ontologically flawed. Reading them makes me understand why my school forced me to take philosophy and STS classes when I got my science degree.
I have thought about this for a long time, basically since the release of ChatGPT, and the problem in my opinion is that certain people have been fooled into believing that LLMs are actual intelligence.
The average person severely underestimates how complex human cognition, intelligence and consciousness are. They equate the ability of LLMs to generate coherent and contextually appropriate responses with true intelligence or understanding, when it’s anything but.
In a hypothetical world where you had a dice with billions of sides, or a wheel with billions of slots, each shifting their weight with grains of sand, depending on the previous roll or spin, the outcome would closely resemble the output of an LLM. In essence LLMs operate by rapidly sifting through a vast array of pre-learned patterns and associations, much like the shifting sands in the analogy, to generate responses that seem intelligent and coherent.
I like the language you used in your explanation. It’s hard to find good analogues to explain why these aren’t intelligent, and it seems most people don’t understand how they work.
and then if we all project it enough it becomes reality.
so it is important to see what we are projecting.
Isn’t the point if these things to tell a story rather than give insight. They want to Poison the well
So if someone used an LLM in this way in the real world, does it matter that it has no intent, etc? It would still be resulting in a harmful thing happening. I’m not sure it’s relevant what internal logic led it there
You can’t use an LLM this way in the real world. It’s not possible to make an LLM trade stocks by itself. Real human beings need to be involved. Stock brokers have to do mandatory regulatory trainings, and get licenses and fill out forms, and incorporate businesses, and get insurance, and do a bunch of human shit. There is no code you could write that would get ChatGPT liability insurance. All that is just the stock trading – we haven’t even discussed how an LLM would receive insider trading tips on its own. How would that even happen?
If you were to do this in the real world, you’d need a human being to set up a ton of stuff. That person is responsible for making sure it follows the rules, just like they are for any other computer system.
On top of that, you don’t need to do this research to understand that you should not let LLMs make decisions like this. You wouldn’t even let low-level employees make decisions like this! Like I said, we know how LLMs work, and that’s enough. For example, you don’t need to do an experiment to decide if flipping coins is a good way to determine whether or not you should give someone healthcare, because the coin-flipping mechanism is well understood, and the mechanism by which it works is not suitable to healthcare decisions. LLMs are more complicated than coin flips, but we still understand the underlying mechanism well enough to know that this isn’t a proper use for it.
Blackrock, citadel, etc already trade autonomously with “AI”
AI has been a thing for decades. It means artificial intelligence, it does not mean that it’s a large language model. A specially designed system that operates based on predefined choices or operations, is still AI even if it’s not a neural network and looks like classical programming. The computer enemies in games are AI, they mimick an intelligent player artificially. The computer opponent in pong is also AI.
Now if we want to talk about how stupid it is to use a predictive algorithm to run your markets when it really only knows about previous events and can never truly extrapolate new data points and trends into actionable trades then we could be here for hours. Just know it’s not an LLM and there are different categories for AI which an LLM is it’s own category.
Despite how silly they are, I think there may be some value in these kinds of studies, particularly for people who don’t understand why letting an LLM trade stocks or make healthcare decisions is a bad idea.
OTOH, I don’t trust those people to take away the right message, as opposed to just “LLMs bad”.
You say can’t… Humans have done dumber shit.
The point they are making is actually aligned with you I think. Don’t trust “ai” to make real decisions
Regardless of their conclusions, their methodology is still fundamentally flawed. If the coin-flipping experiment concluded that coin flips are a bad way to make health care decisions, it would still be bad science, even if that’s the right answer.
Sure would make you look bad if rectally inserted cotton balls turn out to be a 100% cancer cure.
It feels awkward to complain about your site, because the texts really are excellent and it’s all made for free, but could you add the dates to the posts, when they were published? To me it’s starting to become difficult to figure out which situation the older texts were made in, what stuff they’re implicitly referring to, etc.
Haha no that’s not complaining; it’s good feedback! I’ve been meaning to do that for a while but I’ll bump it up my priorities.