• jj4211@lemmy.world
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    24 hours ago

    Further, it happens to hit the magical “3.5%” number everyone was throwing around.

    Maybe it’s correct and others will vouch for it, analysize, but an estimate that’s significantly higher than an already decently high number that bridges the apparent gap to the 3.5% number almost exactly seems too conveniently on point, like someone wanted to stretch the numbers as little as possible while still hitting the designated number.

    • phutatorius@lemmy.zip
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      2 hours ago

      It’s based on a thoughtful, rigorous analysis, but that 3.5% number is full of caveats. The fact that anyone regards it as a hard threshold is a sign of how easily nuance is lost on social media.

      • jj4211@lemmy.world
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        23 minutes ago

        While it might be thoughtful, it’s based on like 3 events. It’s crazy to even bother mention the 3.5% threshold with such a trivial sample size.