Image is Israeli interceptors trying and failing to intercept missiles over their cities.


Israel just carried out a widespread bombing of Iran, which has killed a number of senior officials inside Iran (though it seems the leadership is more-or-less intact) as well as a number of civilians. Important facilities have been targeted, but the amount of damage is unknown so far (note that many important Iranian facilities are deep underground, making them both hard to damage but also hard to determine if they are damaged from just satellite imagery, so reports of damage will be he-said-she-said).

It appears the attack took Iran by surprise, given that a residential block was targeted that contained some senior officials - if one saw an attack coming, one would imagine they’d be in bunkers. Nonetheless, like the rest of the Resistance Axis, I suspect that Iran has adapted their military structures to be resistant to decapitation strikes by ensuring that replacement figures are ready to take the place of killed officials.

Iran has delivered a massive missile barrage in response to Israeli aggression, even though Israel is continuing to bomb Iran. Iran is now aware of the location of many important Israeli sites, including secret nuclear sites, due to their recent intelligence haul, giving them a distinct edge.


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • CyborgMarx [any, any]@hexbear.net
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    10 hours ago

    It should be pointed out; with each new sortee western jets and pilots are experiencing cumulative degradation and burnout, every Iranian drone shot down requires missiles, jet fuel, a maintenance cycle and pilot focus and energy to accomplish, radars are distracted and specialists go without sleep

    Each Iranian missile that gets thru degrades morale and pushes cumulative maintenance requests to the back of the queue

    Israeli and western intelligence agencies are burning through assets, informants, and year long plans on an multi hour basis

    Meanwhile Iran just has to keep lobbing missiles and drones while the more extensive operations are conducted on well trodden home soil

    • aanes_appreciator [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      10 hours ago

      yup, Israel really banked on the war being over as quickly as it started, or at least dragging the US into it immediately by gloating about “coordination”. I dont think they ever expected to crack any of the strategic nuclear sites in Iran, but do just enough damage and strike just enough panic into the Iranian political class to get them to back down.

      Pezeshkian is known to have been an opponent to True Promise II and part of why True Promise III never materialised before now. There are other moderates who equally didnt want to escalate the confrontation, hence the negotiations with Trump. However, it appears these moderates have backed down.

      • Comrade_Mushroom [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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        10 hours ago

        I’m not saying you’re wrong, because of course how the fuck would I know, but as many people keep pointing out, Iran is a much more formidable opponent than what Israel has taken on before. I just find it hard to believe that they expected the war to be over so quickly. If anything it feels to me like their intention was to set a fire that the US will be forced to put out.

        But again, the fuck do I know?

        • Ecoleo [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          9 hours ago

          I still wouldn’t rule out the US getting involved. Isntreal might even be doing all this to soften Iran up and absorb their missile and drone stockpiles for awhile so the US can sweep in later.

          • BanSwitch2Buyers [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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            7 hours ago

            The US is kinda’ stuck trying to funnel weapons to 2 countries and I don’t know if they won’t just keep supplying both as MIC gets greedy for more contracts/money. If the US picks Ukraine or Israel the other one’s basically guaranteed to lose. Ukraine might get more European weapons than Israel would, but IDK.

        • Yeah Israel definitely underestimated Iran, and moreso was really desperate to get the US involved so they could wipe their hands of the fighting while the US and its regional allies take the hits for them.

          Either they hoped Iran would roll over out of paralysis of the first strike, or that said strike would encourage retaliation onto US regional bases as well, or some wild escalation like closing Hormuz or attacking Dimona to bring the region against Iran. Fuck knows though, sometimes these morons are just that.

    • BynarsAreOk [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      9 hours ago

      I don’t know about any of this. I don’t think any of what you list here is particularly rare or in short supply. Iron dome or whatever missiles? Maybe, but jet fuel and pilots? That’s stretching it.

      As for intelligence agencies “resources” you may as well make the point if this stuff isn’t meant to be used at some crucial moment like right now then when is it ever meant to be used?

      It reminds me of this ProZd classic

      • CyborgMarx [any, any]@hexbear.net
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        8 hours ago

        Either Israel continues to use a hundred jets a sortee to break thru Iranian air defenses or it doesn’t, and there’s the jets that have to hunt the drones in Syria and Iraq

        The Israeli airfleet is big but it’s not so big that it can avoid pilot burnout while operating at the levels it’s currently at

        And the point of intelligence resources is regime change and disruption, clearly neither are happening at the scale Israel hoped for, and once those assets are burnt they’re gone, with most of them being the product of years of work and not equivalent to “healing potions” in a video game