• Sebrof [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    7 hours ago

    Russia will control all of Ukraine in about… 118 years

    Do they believe their own bullshit? Because imagine only ever predicting shit with a straight line, where everything is linear, quantitive change is steady and predictable and qualities never evolve. There is no nonlinearity, there is no potential for collapse, chaos, or punctuated equilibrium. The small changes you see today will continue as they are for centuries.

    I know it’s nerd talk to discuss dialectics, or complexity, but it’s mind boggling how undialectical these serious people are. Part of me thinks it just cope on their part to make their masters happy because how could one make that prediction without smelling your own bs and knowing its a completely meaningless number. But banks and think tanks do select for the smoothest of minds.