- cross-posted to:
- collapse@slrpnk.net
- cross-posted to:
- collapse@slrpnk.net
cross-posted from: https://lemm.ee/post/64475908
In Limits to Growth, a '70s era tome lauded by both environmentalists and doomsday conspiracy theorists, MIT scientists made a number of predictions about population growth, food production, etc, using the data available at the time – and were immediately lambasted by the media and politicians as being fear-mongering, since they hinted that collapse would likely come in the 2nd half of the 21st century. Recently, investment guy Joachim Klement revisited the predictions, adding data from this century. The results were… not great, with some indicating that we’re living in the peak of human development like literally right this minute.
They predicted peak population about now at 7.7billion or so. They did include falling birth rates into their models as even back then rich countries had below replacement rate fertility rates. As of right now we are not a peak population though.