cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/29441415

Ukraine and European leaders agreed on Saturday to an unconditional 30-day ceasefire from 12 May with the backing of US president Donald Trump, threatening president Vladimir Putin with new “massive” sanctions if he failed to comply.

The announcement was made by the leaders of Britain, France, Germany, Poland and Ukraine after a meeting in Kyiv, during which they held a phone call with Trump.

  • stoy@lemmy.zip
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    18 hours ago

    That is how it worked in the past, a kingdom attacked another, battles were fought, and new borders were drawn.

    At the end it is a matter of how much the belligerents can each take.

    Sooner or later negotiations will start, a new border will be drawn, and tensions will go down.

    In an ideal world, Russia would be forced to give back all of the land they captured since 2014, all of the Ukranian people they kidnapped, and pay reparations to Ukraine.

    But my expectations is that in reality Ukraine will be forced to give up Chrimea in exchange for Russia to give back the land they captured since 2022, there will be a discussion about war reparations, Russia will argue that they already paid reparations based on how European nations took frozen Russian assets and gave to Ukraine.

    There will be some relatively small compensation paid out to Ukraine.

    I don’t want Ukraine to have to give up on Chrimea, but realistically I don’t see how they would have the strength to retake it as the situation is now.