• shalafi@lemmy.world
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    3 days ago

    “Collapse” is some heavy hyperbole, but it’s interesting to see any dip this soon in.

    This is what really stuck with me:

    The 2024 election saw Trump win 63 percent of rural voters, up from 60 percent in 2020, according to AP VoteCast.

    Only 63 percent?! I would have guessed, given the rural area I’m in, that they would have hit 80 percent, maybe more. Of course there aren’t that many MAGA faithful, not the frothing at the mouth sort, but I’d have guessed Trump voters would be far higher. We just had a special election for Florida District 1 and the Democrat got fucking creamed.

    • MrVilliam@lemm.ee
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      1 day ago
      1. They’re loud, but not necessarily many.

      2. They are passionate, and therefore will turn out to vote.

      3. American voter turnout is generally pretty low. The best year in over 100 years was 2020 with still only about 2/3 of eligible voters showing up to vote.

      These things combined make it seem impossible for Democrats or progressive independents to win almost anywhere. All it takes is candidates impressive enough to break through to the people who aren’t showing up to vote. Milquetoast weiners aren’t exciting enough for this, and neither is the strategy of trying to court the right.