• ThePowerOfGeek@lemmy.world
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    4 days ago

    And Russia has zero interest in working with Biden. Because they knew that between their election interference, their US-based puppets, and general voter dissatisfaction with Biden (and Harris), all they had to do was wait it out to get a much more favorable administration who will acquiesce to their demands.

    • Andy@slrpnk.net
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      3 days ago

      No: because that assumes that Putin knew Trump was going to win.

      Both sides knew that the outcome of a coin flip election could make or break the terms of any future agreement, so Putin had no way to confidently know that a negotiation in 2025 would yield better terms than 2024.

      I mean, it’s all hypothetical. Maybe Putin would rather go for broke, because he’s insane and an evil asshole. Maybe he’d rather die blowing up the whole world than every accept a stalemate. But the theory that there was no room to negotiate is preposterous.

      I can definitely say in this moment, though, that Biden’s refusal to even discuss negotiating a ceasefire was certainly a massive, costly mistake.