Among the most notable findings in our poll: 21 percent of independents said the conviction made them less likely to support Trump and that it would be an important factor in their vote. In a close election, small shifts among independent and swing voters could determine the outcome.

Pls be true 🙏🏻

In all seriousness, it should be higher than just 21%, but Trump’s media machine has been working overtime to spin his conviction as a positive.

Still, with how narrow the margins are, and how important stopping Trump is, 21% could do enough damage to stop him.

I’d be curious to see where these 21% of voters live, however. If they’re not in swing states then their impact is negligible.