• Jesus@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      5 months ago

      Their model showed that it was a VERY close race and Trump had a 1 in 4 chance of winning.

      That doesn’t mean “Clinton is guaranteed to win.” It means, it’s a 4 sided die roll, and Trump had a side.

      • InternetUser2012
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        5 months ago

        She had a bigger lead than mr 34 felonies has right now. I don’t really care what polls say because they’re a load of shit. VOTE. If everyone votes, we won’t have any republikkklowns in office.

      • samus12345@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        edit-2
        5 months ago

        Yup, it was within the probability. What it shows is that a lot of people who voted for Trump didn’t say they were when polled.

        • Jesus@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          5
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          5 months ago

          IMHO, it mostly shows that most people don’t actually understand statistics and polling.

          If you have two candidates that are neck and neck, and are split by a percent that is close to the margin of error, then things can go either way depending on who is able to turnout votes on Election Day.