per 538, the last two polls of âadultsâ (not likely voters or registered voters) showed trump support around 40%. And Harrisâ lead in those polls is basically the same as with likely voters and registered voters, around +3-4.
Also this gallup poll says 30% of people identify as Republican, and 40% as independent, with 46% of independents leaning Republican. So âalmost halfâ as the top comment said.
edit 2: for whoever downvoted, I would love to hear why. the person above asked for a source that says âAlmost half the country is right wingâ, and I provided multiple. if you have better evidence to the contrary letâs see it.
per 538, the last two polls of âadultsâ (not likely voters or registered voters) showed trump support around 40%
This feels to me like the best metric to judge âright wingâ by.
Voting for right wingers or being a Republican is not quite the same as being right wing - many people register and vote strategically. My grandparents in Alaska were left wingers who knew Democrats didnât stand a chance. Iâm sure there are plenty of right wingers registered as Dems here in the PNW. Voting can also be about identity more than ideals - Iâve known Republicans who have mostly leftish ideals as long as you donât call them that.
But saying you personally support trump feels more unambiguously right wing to me. Iâve heard plenty of polls over the years putting trumpâs support at around 30-40%, so 40% right wing sounds believable to me.
Also, I acknowledge this is speculation, but I would guess that a significant portion of the undecided people in those polls are conservatives who canât stomach Trump and will never vote democrat. So itâs almost certainly more than 40% imo.
Your data does not logically lead to your conclusion, because the polls cited naturally bifurcated the responses into two (or three) camps.
Itâs like if I did a poll asking: âwhat is your favorite color, purple or yellow?â and then said this proves that 50% of respondentsâ favorite color is purple. We are discounting the opinions of orange and green lovers.
Your data does not logically lead to your conclusion, because the polls cited naturally bifurcated the responses into two (or three) camps.
are you denying that trump supporters would identify as â conservativeâ? Also âundecidedâ is certainly a catch-all option for people who donât want to vote for Trump or Harris.
Itâs like if I did a poll asking: âwhat is your favorite color, purple or yellow?â and then said this proves that 50% of respondentsâ favorite color is purple. We are discounting the opinions of orange and green lovers.
sorry but thatâs an awful analogy, color preference does not follow a rough spectrum as political ideology does. And again, in your analogy, the orange and green lovers could have chosen undecided.
If you have better data, by all means show it. The polls I linked are certainly more accurate than the person above citing the 2020 election and that only 22% of the US voted for Trump. That is a wildly misleading representation of US demographics.
per 538, the last two polls of âadultsâ (not likely voters or registered voters) showed trump support around 40%. And Harrisâ lead in those polls is basically the same as with likely voters and registered voters, around +3-4.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo
edit:
Also this gallup poll says 30% of people identify as Republican, and 40% as independent, with 46% of independents leaning Republican. So âalmost halfâ as the top comment said.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/Party-Affiliation.aspx
edit 2: for whoever downvoted, I would love to hear why. the person above asked for a source that says âAlmost half the country is right wingâ, and I provided multiple. if you have better evidence to the contrary letâs see it.
This feels to me like the best metric to judge âright wingâ by.
Voting for right wingers or being a Republican is not quite the same as being right wing - many people register and vote strategically. My grandparents in Alaska were left wingers who knew Democrats didnât stand a chance. Iâm sure there are plenty of right wingers registered as Dems here in the PNW. Voting can also be about identity more than ideals - Iâve known Republicans who have mostly leftish ideals as long as you donât call them that.
But saying you personally support trump feels more unambiguously right wing to me. Iâve heard plenty of polls over the years putting trumpâs support at around 30-40%, so 40% right wing sounds believable to me.
Also, I acknowledge this is speculation, but I would guess that a significant portion of the undecided people in those polls are conservatives who canât stomach Trump and will never vote democrat. So itâs almost certainly more than 40% imo.
Your data does not logically lead to your conclusion, because the polls cited naturally bifurcated the responses into two (or three) camps.
Itâs like if I did a poll asking: âwhat is your favorite color, purple or yellow?â and then said this proves that 50% of respondentsâ favorite color is purple. We are discounting the opinions of orange and green lovers.
are you denying that trump supporters would identify as â conservativeâ? Also âundecidedâ is certainly a catch-all option for people who donât want to vote for Trump or Harris.
sorry but thatâs an awful analogy, color preference does not follow a rough spectrum as political ideology does. And again, in your analogy, the orange and green lovers could have chosen undecided.
If you have better data, by all means show it. The polls I linked are certainly more accurate than the person above citing the 2020 election and that only 22% of the US voted for Trump. That is a wildly misleading representation of US demographics.
Probably because you told/showed them what they donât want to hear.